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author:

Chen, S. (Chen, S..) [1] | Lan, X. (Lan, X..) [2] | Chen, G. (Chen, G..) [3] | Zheng, K. (Zheng, K..) [4] | Cai, S. (Cai, S..) [5] | Wei, F. (Wei, F..) [6] | Jin, Z. (Jin, Z..) [7] | Mao, X. (Mao, X..) [8]

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Scopus

Abstract:

This paper proposes the symptom-based SEMIR compartmental model with age groups and fluctuations from the perspective of the managers of the local government. The basic reproduction number of the total population is given by the next generation matrix method, the group-based basic reproduction number are then followed. The unique global positive solution is derived by using the Lyapunov function. Furthermore, the sufficient conditions of the stochastic extinction and the stochastic persistence of the SEMIR model are studied. When Fuzhou COVID-19 epidemic is chosen from the surveillance data for the further numerical investigation, the data fittings of the SEMIR model reveal that age groups are profitable to control the infection scale of intensive cases, and that the susceptibility to infection of age groups are higher than those within the total population. Alternatively, the scenario investigations show that the prompt treatments are conducive to the reduction of infection scale for intensive cases. © The Author(s) under exclusive licence to Korean Society for Informatics and Computational Applied Mathematics 2024.

Keyword:

Age groups Basic reproduction number Persistence and extinction Stochastic epidemic model Symptom

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Chen S.]School of Mathematics and Statistics, Fuzhou University, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 2 ] [Lan X.]School of Mathematics and Statistics, Fuzhou University, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 3 ] [Chen G.]Fujian Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 4 ] [Chen G.]Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Zoonosis Research, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 5 ] [Chen G.]Teaching Base of the School of Public Health of Fujian Medical University, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 6 ] [Zheng K.]Fujian Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 7 ] [Zheng K.]Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Zoonosis Research, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 8 ] [Zheng K.]Teaching Base of the School of Public Health of Fujian Medical University, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 9 ] [Cai S.]Fujian Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 10 ] [Wei F.]School of Mathematics and Statistics, Fuzhou University, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 11 ] [Wei F.]Center for Applied Mathematics of Fujian Province, Fuzhou University, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 12 ] [Wei F.]Key Laboratory of Operations Research and Control of Universities in Fujian, Fuzhou University, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 13 ] [Jin Z.]Key Laboratory of Operations Research and Control of Universities in Fujian, Fuzhou University, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 14 ] [Mao X.]Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, G1 1XH, United Kingdom

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Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computing

ISSN: 1598-5865

Year: 2024

2 . 4 0 0

JCR@2023

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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

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30 Days PV: 0

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