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author:

Chen, Shijing (Chen, Shijing.) [1] | Lan, Xiaomin (Lan, Xiaomin.) [2] | Chen, Guangmin (Chen, Guangmin.) [3] | Zheng, Kuicheng (Zheng, Kuicheng.) [4] | Cai, Shaojian (Cai, Shaojian.) [5] | Wei, Fengying (Wei, Fengying.) [6] (Scholars:魏凤英) | Jin, Zhen (Jin, Zhen.) [7] | Mao, Xuerong (Mao, Xuerong.) [8]

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

This paper proposes the symptom-based SEMIR compartmental model with age groups and fluctuations from the perspective of the managers of the local government. The basic reproduction number of the total population is given by the next generation matrix method, the group-based basic reproduction number are then followed. The unique global positive solution is derived by using the Lyapunov function. Furthermore, the sufficient conditions of the stochastic extinction and the stochastic persistence of the SEMIR model are studied. When Fuzhou COVID-19 epidemic is chosen from the surveillance data for the further numerical investigation, the data fittings of the SEMIR model reveal that age groups are profitable to control the infection scale of intensive cases, and that the susceptibility to infection of age groups are higher than those within the total population. Alternatively, the scenario investigations show that the prompt treatments are conducive to the reduction of infection scale for intensive cases.

Keyword:

Age groups Basic reproduction number Persistence and extinction Stochastic epidemic model Symptom

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Chen, Shijing]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Lan, Xiaomin]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Wei, Fengying]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Chen, Guangmin]Fujian Prov Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Fuzhou 350012, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Zheng, Kuicheng]Fujian Prov Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Fuzhou 350012, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Cai, Shaojian]Fujian Prov Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Fuzhou 350012, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Chen, Guangmin]Fujian Prov Key Lab Zoonosis Res, Fuzhou 350012, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Zheng, Kuicheng]Fujian Prov Key Lab Zoonosis Res, Fuzhou 350012, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 9 ] [Chen, Guangmin]Fujian Med Univ, Teaching Base Sch Publ Hlth, Fuzhou 350012, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 10 ] [Zheng, Kuicheng]Fujian Med Univ, Teaching Base Sch Publ Hlth, Fuzhou 350012, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 11 ] [Wei, Fengying]Fuzhou Univ, Ctr Appl Math Fujian Prov, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 12 ] [Wei, Fengying]Fuzhou Univ, Key Lab Operat Res & Control Univ Fujian, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 13 ] [Jin, Zhen]Fuzhou Univ, Key Lab Operat Res & Control Univ Fujian, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 14 ] [Mao, Xuerong]Univ Strathclyde, Dept Math & Stat, Glasgow G1 1XH, Scotland

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Wei, Fengying]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China;;[Wei, Fengying]Fuzhou Univ, Ctr Appl Math Fujian Prov, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China;;[Wei, Fengying]Fuzhou Univ, Key Lab Operat Res & Control Univ Fujian, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China;;[Jin, Zhen]Fuzhou Univ, Key Lab Operat Res & Control Univ Fujian, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China;;[Mao, Xuerong]Univ Strathclyde, Dept Math & Stat, Glasgow G1 1XH, Scotland;;

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Source :

JOURNAL OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

ISSN: 1598-5865

Year: 2024

Issue: 2

Volume: 71

Page: 1459-1484

2 . 4 0 0

JCR@2023

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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