Indexed by:
Abstract:
We formulate an epidemic model with age of vaccination and generalized nonlinear incidence rate, where the total population consists of the susceptible, the vaccinated, the infected and the removed. We then reach a stochastic SVIR model when the fluctuation is introduced into the transmission rate. By using Ito's formula and Lyapunov methods, we first show that the stochastic epidemic model admits a unique global positive solution with the positive initial value. We then obtain the sufficient conditions of the stochastic epidemic model. Moreover, the threshold tells the disease spreads or not is derived. If the intensity of the white noise is small enough and (R) over tilde (Q) < 1, then the disease eventually becomes extinct with negative exponential rate. If <(R)over tilde>(0) > 1, then the disease is weakly permanent. The persistence in the mean of the infected is also obtained when the indicator (R) over tilde (0) > 1, which means the disease will prevail in a long run. As a consequence, several illustrative examples are separately carried out with numerical simulations to support the main results of this paper. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keyword:
Reprint 's Address:
Email:
Version:
Source :
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS
ISSN: 0378-4371
Year: 2019
Volume: 513
Page: 572-587
2 . 9 2 4
JCR@2019
2 . 8 0 0
JCR@2023
ESI Discipline: PHYSICS;
ESI HC Threshold:138
JCR Journal Grade:2
CAS Journal Grade:3
Cited Count:
WoS CC Cited Count: 28
SCOPUS Cited Count: 28
ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
WanFang Cited Count:
Chinese Cited Count:
30 Days PV: 1
Affiliated Colleges: