• Complex
  • Title
  • Keyword
  • Abstract
  • Scholars
  • Journal
  • ISSN
  • Conference
成果搜索

author:

Zhu, H. (Zhu, H..) [1] | Chen, S. (Chen, S..) [2] | Qin, W. (Qin, W..) [3] | Aynur, J. (Aynur, J..) [4] | Chen, Y. (Chen, Y..) [5] | Wang, X. (Wang, X..) [6] | Chen, K. (Chen, K..) [7] | Xie, Z. (Xie, Z..) [8] | Li, L. (Li, L..) [9] | Liu, Y. (Liu, Y..) [10] | Chen, G. (Chen, G..) [11] | Ou, J. (Ou, J..) [12] | Zheng, K. (Zheng, K..) [13]

Indexed by:

Scopus

Abstract:

Objective: At different times, public health faces various challenges and the degree of intervention measures varies. The research on the impact and prediction of meteorology factors on influenza is increasing gradually, however, there is currently no evidence on whether its research results are affected by different periods. This study aims to provide limited evidence to reveal this issue. Methods: Daily data on influencing factors and influenza in Xiamen were divided into three parts: overall period (phase AB), non-COVID-19 epidemic period (phase A), and COVID-19 epidemic period (phase B). The association between influencing factors and influenza was analysed using generalized additive models (GAMs). The excess risk (ER) was used to represent the percentage change in influenza as the interquartile interval (IQR) of meteorology factors increases. The 7-day average daily influenza cases were predicted using the combination of bi-directional long short memory (Bi-LSTM) and random forest (RF) through multi-step rolling input of the daily multifactor values of the previous 7-day. Results: In periods A and AB, air temperature below 22 °C was a risk factor for influenza. However, in phase B, temperature showed a U-shaped effect on it. Relative humidity had a more significant cumulative effect on influenza in phase AB than in phase A (peak: accumulate 14d, AB: ER = 281.54, 95% CI = 245.47 ~ 321.37; A: ER = 120.48, 95% CI = 100.37 ~ 142.60). Compared to other age groups, children aged 4–12 were more affected by pressure, precipitation, sunshine, and day light, while those aged ≥ 13 were more affected by the accumulation of humidity over multiple days. The accuracy of predicting influenza was highest in phase A and lowest in phase B. Conclusions: The varying degrees of intervention measures adopted during different phases led to significant differences in the impact of meteorology factors on influenza and in the influenza prediction. In association studies of respiratory infectious diseases, especially influenza, and environmental factors, it is advisable to exclude periods with more external interventions to reduce interference with environmental factors and influenza related research, or to refine the model to accommodate the alterations brought about by intervention measures. In addition, the RF-Bi-LSTM model has good predictive performance for influenza. © The Author(s) 2024.

Keyword:

Bi-LSTM COVID-19 Influenza Meteorological Random forest (RF)

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhu H.]Fujian Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhu H.]School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350011, China
  • [ 3 ] [Chen S.]Fujian Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350007, China
  • [ 4 ] [Chen S.]Fujian Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350007, China
  • [ 5 ] [Chen S.]Key Laboratory of Straits Severe Weather, China Meteorological Administration, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350007, China
  • [ 6 ] [Qin W.]The First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University, Fujian, Xiamen, 361003, China
  • [ 7 ] [Aynur J.]School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Fujian, Xiamen, 361100, China
  • [ 8 ] [Chen Y.]Fujian Provincial Judicial Drug Rehabilitation Hospital, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350007, China
  • [ 9 ] [Wang X.]School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Fujian, Xiamen, 361100, China
  • [ 10 ] [Chen K.]Fuzhou University, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350108, China
  • [ 11 ] [Xie Z.]Fujian Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 12 ] [Xie Z.]School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350011, China
  • [ 13 ] [Li L.]Fujian Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 14 ] [Liu Y.]Xiangnan University, Hunan, Chenzhou, 423001, China
  • [ 15 ] [Chen G.]Fujian Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 16 ] [Chen G.]School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350011, China
  • [ 17 ] [Ou J.]Fujian Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 18 ] [Ou J.]School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350011, China
  • [ 19 ] [Zheng K.]Fujian Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 20 ] [Zheng K.]School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fujian, Fuzhou, 350011, China

Reprint 's Address:

Email:

Show more details

Related Keywords:

Source :

BMC Infectious Diseases

ISSN: 1471-2334

Year: 2024

Issue: 1

Volume: 24

3 . 4 0 0

JCR@2023

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 3

Affiliated Colleges:

Online/Total:97/10036564
Address:FZU Library(No.2 Xuyuan Road, Fuzhou, Fujian, PRC Post Code:350116) Contact Us:0591-22865326
Copyright:FZU Library Technical Support:Beijing Aegean Software Co., Ltd. 闽ICP备05005463号-1