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Particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5 μm or less (PM2.5) concentrations exhibit significant spatiotemporal variability due to diverse urban scenarios, making accurate PM2.5 simulation challenging. This study used PM2.5 mobile monitoring data and considered the impact of urban scenarios on PM2.5. A hybrid PM2.5 simulation model was developed by integrating the Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression model (MGWR) and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), referred to as MGWR-XGBoost. Nested buffer analysis, combined with feature importance and partial dependence plots, was employed to quantify the scale-dependent effects of urban scenarios on PM2.5. Additionally, spatiotemporal patterns of PM2.5 concentrations across different urban scenarios were analyzed. The results showed that the MGWR-XGBoost model, which introduced urban scenario variables, achieved a mean improvement of 10.5 % in the coefficient of determination (R2) and a mean reduction of 1.52 μg/m3 in the root mean square error (RMSE), thereby enabling intra-city PM2.5 simulations at a spatial resolution of 100 m × 100 m. Quantitative analysis revealed that roads and industrial areas could influence PM2.5 concentrations at a regional scale (1000–1500 m buffers), whereas residential areas, parks, sports services, and educational and medical units primarily exhibited more localized impacts (100–500 m buffers). Spatially, PM2.5 concentrations in the study area exhibited a southeast-high, northwest-low pattern, with higher pollution in construction sites, roads, and heavy and light industrial areas. Temporally, PM2.5 pollution levels across different urban scenarios exhibited a rise–fall–rise pattern. The findings provide support for fine-scale PM2.5 monitoring, urban planning, and pollution control. © 2025 Elsevier B.V.
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Urban Climate
ISSN: 2212-0955
Year: 2025
Volume: 62
6 . 0 0 0
JCR@2023
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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
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30 Days PV: 1
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