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author:

Chen, Bowen (Chen, Bowen.) [1] | Chen, Libo (Chen, Libo.) [2] (Scholars:陈力波) | Mo, Ruchun (Mo, Ruchun.) [3] | Wang, Zongcheng (Wang, Zongcheng.) [4] | Zheng, Li (Zheng, Li.) [5] | Zhang, Canlin (Zhang, Canlin.) [6] (Scholars:章灿林) | Chen, Yu (Chen, Yu.) [7] (Scholars:陈誉)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

The assessment of the strength of welded Circular Hollow Section (CHS) steel tubular joints is of paramount importance in the safe design of engineered structures. In order to address this core factor, this paper employs Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), a probabilistic machine learning method based on a collected database, with the objective of modelling and predicting the strength of three types of welded CHS steel tubular joints and effectively quantifying their associated uncertainties. This study presents two strength prediction models for welded CHS steel tubular joints: a Single-Output Gaussian Process Regression (SOGPR) model and a Multi-task Gaussian Process Regression (MTGPR) model. The models are evaluated and compared with existing empirical approaches, design guides, non-probabilistic machine learning methods, and Bayesian Linear Regression. The objective is to demonstrate the accuracy and high efficiency of the predictions made by these models. Furthermore, the MTGPR model employs the shared information between the three types of joints to enhance the prediction performance. Subsequently, the SHapley Additive exPlanations method was employed to examine the interpretability of the GPR model in relation to the strength uncertainty of welded CHS steel tubular joints. Ultimately, the uncertainty in the strength of the three welded CHS steel tubular joints is quantified based on the proposed prediction methodology in conjunction with Monte Carlo Simulation through the utilisation of Sobol sensitivity analysis and Morris sensitivity analysis. The findings indicate that the chord diameter D and chord length L of welded CHS steel tubular joints have the greatest impact on the uncertainty of strength. The aforementioned study facilitates the optimisation of the design of actual engineering structures, the management of the range of strength uncertainty and the enhancement of the safety and reliability of engineering structures.

Keyword:

Gaussian process regression Sensitivity analysis Strength prediction Uncertainty quantification Welded CHS steel tubular joints

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Chen, Bowen]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Chen, Libo]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Mo, Ruchun]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Zhang, Canlin]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Chen, Yu]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Chen, Libo]Fuzhou Univ, Macao & Taiwan Joint Lab Struct Engn, Int & Hong Kong, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Zhang, Canlin]Fuzhou Univ, Macao & Taiwan Joint Lab Struct Engn, Int & Hong Kong, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Chen, Yu]Fuzhou Univ, Macao & Taiwan Joint Lab Struct Engn, Int & Hong Kong, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China
  • [ 9 ] [Wang, Zongcheng]Fujian Construct Engn Grp Co Ltd, Fuzhou 350003, Peoples R China
  • [ 10 ] [Zheng, Li]Fujian Construct Engn Grp Co Ltd, Fuzhou 350003, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • 陈力波 陈誉

    [Chen, Libo]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China;;[Chen, Yu]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China

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Source :

ENGINEERING STRUCTURES

ISSN: 0141-0296

Year: 2025

Volume: 332

5 . 6 0 0

JCR@2023

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 2

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