• Complex
  • Title
  • Keyword
  • Abstract
  • Scholars
  • Journal
  • ISSN
  • Conference
成果搜索

author:

Chen, Libo (Chen, Libo.) [1]

Indexed by:

Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

This study investigates the application of ordinal regression models in seismic fragility curve modeling, providing a flexible alternative to the traditional log-normal distribution function. A comparative analysis is conducted among various ordinal regression approaches, including the traditional Cumulative model as well as alternative methods like Sequential and Adjacent Category models, along with extensions that account for category-specific effects and heteroscedasticity. These models are applied to bridge damage data from the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake, using both frequentist and Bayesian inference methods. Model diagnostics, including surrogate residuals, are performed to assess model fit and performance. A total of eleven models are examined, from basic forms to those incorporating category-specific effects and variance heterogeneity. The Sequential model with category-specific effects, rigorously evaluated using leave-one-out cross-validation, outperforms the traditional Cumulative probit model. The findings highlight significant differences in the predicted damage probabilities, emphasizing the potential of more flexible fragility curve modeling techniques to improve seismic risk assessments. This study underscores the importance of ongoing evaluation and refinement of modeling techniques to enhance the predictive accuracy and applicability of seismic fragility models in performance-based earthquake engineering.

Keyword:

Bayesian inference category-specific effects ordinal regression models seismic fragility variance heterogeneity

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Chen, Libo]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou, Fujian, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Chen, Libo]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou, Fujian, Peoples R China

Show more details

Version:

Related Keywords:

Source :

EARTHQUAKE ENGINEERING & STRUCTURAL DYNAMICS

ISSN: 0098-8847

Year: 2025

4 . 3 0 0

JCR@2023

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

Online/Total:307/9314488
Address:FZU Library(No.2 Xuyuan Road, Fuzhou, Fujian, PRC Post Code:350116) Contact Us:0591-22865326
Copyright:FZU Library Technical Support:Beijing Aegean Software Co., Ltd. 闽ICP备05005463号-1