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Abstract:
The global food supply system is under increasing pressure due to population growth and more extreme climate events. Developing forecast models for accurate prediction of crop yields is helpful for early warning of food crises. Amid the different environmental predictors, soil moisture (SM) is an important agricultural drought indicator. However, current operational microwave SM products have generally low spatial resolution, challenging the effective characterization of SM spatial heterogeneity. In this study, empowered by the hourly land surface temperature (LST) observations from geostationary operational environmental satellites (GOES), we first spatially-downscale SM using machine learning (ML) algorithms. Then, by designing three sets of experiment respectively using downscaled SM, coarse-resolution SM, and precipitation observation, we assess the comparative performance of downscaled SM among its counterparts in estimating crop yield variability, based on three mainstream ML algorithms and two traditional regression algorithms. Our research shows that downscaled SM based on high temporal resolution GOES-LST demonstrates outstanding performance in characterizing the spatial variation of SM. With respect to yield estimation, downscaled high-resolution SM out performs coarse-resolution SM and precipitation products, with the average R-2 between the crop yield estimates and the yield records being 0.814, 0.809, and 0.805, respectively. In addition, we find that among the five algorithms, the nonlinear ML algorithms exceed the linear algorithms in crop yield estimation, with the average R-2 being 0.827 and 0.783, respectively. Our research demonstrates the great potential of infusing different satellite information to improve the monitoring of crop growing status and yield prediction.
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IEEE JOURNAL OF SELECTED TOPICS IN APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATIONS AND REMOTE SENSING
ISSN: 1939-1404
Year: 2024
Volume: 17
Page: 19067-19077
4 . 7 0 0
JCR@2023
Cited Count:
SCOPUS Cited Count: 1
ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
WanFang Cited Count:
Chinese Cited Count:
30 Days PV: 2
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