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author:

Mai, Ruiwen (Mai, Ruiwen.) [1] | Xin, Qinchuan (Xin, Qinchuan.) [2] | Qiu, Jianxiu (Qiu, Jianxiu.) [3] | Wang, Qianfeng (Wang, Qianfeng.) [4] (Scholars:王前锋) | Zhu, Peng (Zhu, Peng.) [5]

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

The global food supply system is under increasing pressure due to population growth and more extreme climate events. Developing forecast models for accurate prediction of crop yields is helpful for early warning of food crises. Amid the different environmental predictors, soil moisture (SM) is an important agricultural drought indicator. However, current operational microwave SM products have generally low spatial resolution, challenging the effective characterization of SM spatial heterogeneity. In this study, empowered by the hourly land surface temperature (LST) observations from geostationary operational environmental satellites (GOES), we first spatially-downscale SM using machine learning (ML) algorithms. Then, by designing three sets of experiment respectively using downscaled SM, coarse-resolution SM, and precipitation observation, we assess the comparative performance of downscaled SM among its counterparts in estimating crop yield variability, based on three mainstream ML algorithms and two traditional regression algorithms. Our research shows that downscaled SM based on high temporal resolution GOES-LST demonstrates outstanding performance in characterizing the spatial variation of SM. With respect to yield estimation, downscaled high-resolution SM out performs coarse-resolution SM and precipitation products, with the average R-2 between the crop yield estimates and the yield records being 0.814, 0.809, and 0.805, respectively. In addition, we find that among the five algorithms, the nonlinear ML algorithms exceed the linear algorithms in crop yield estimation, with the average R-2 being 0.827 and 0.783, respectively. Our research demonstrates the great potential of infusing different satellite information to improve the monitoring of crop growing status and yield prediction.

Keyword:

Data models Land surface temperature Land surface temperature (LST) Machine learning algorithms machine learning (ML) Predictive models Soil moisture soil moisture (SM) downscaling Spatial resolution Switched mode power supplies yield estimation

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Mai, Ruiwen]Sun Yat sen Univ, Sch Geog & Planning, Guangzhou 510275, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Xin, Qinchuan]Sun Yat sen Univ, Sch Geog & Planning, Guangzhou 510275, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Qiu, Jianxiu]Sun Yat sen Univ, Sch Geog & Planning, Guangzhou 510275, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Wang, Qianfeng]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Environm & Safety Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Zhu, Peng]Univ Hong Kong, Dept Geog, Hong Kong 999077, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Qiu, Jianxiu]Sun Yat sen Univ, Sch Geog & Planning, Guangzhou 510275, Peoples R China;;[Zhu, Peng]Univ Hong Kong, Dept Geog, Hong Kong 999077, Peoples R China;;

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Source :

IEEE JOURNAL OF SELECTED TOPICS IN APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATIONS AND REMOTE SENSING

ISSN: 1939-1404

Year: 2024

Volume: 17

Page: 19067-19077

4 . 7 0 0

JCR@2023

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 1

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 2

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