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author:

Mai, Ruiwen (Mai, Ruiwen.) [1] | Xin, Qinchuan (Xin, Qinchuan.) [2] | Qiu, Jianxiu (Qiu, Jianxiu.) [3] | Wang, Qianfeng (Wang, Qianfeng.) [4] | Zhu, Peng (Zhu, Peng.) [5]

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Abstract:

The global food supply system is under increasing pressure due to population growth and more extreme climate events. Developing forecast models for accurate prediction of crop yields is helpful for early warning of food crises. Amid the different environmental predictors, soil moisture (SM) is an important agricultural drought indicator. However, currentoperational microwave SM products have generally low spatial resolution, challenging the effective characterization of SM spatial heterogeneity. In this study, empowered by the hourly land surface temperature (LST) observations from geostationary operational environmental satellites (GOES), we first spatially-downscaleSM using machine learning (ML) algorithms. Then, by designing three sets of experiment respectively using downscaled SM, coarse-resolution SM, and precipitation observation, we assess the comparative performance of downscaled SM among its counterparts in estimating crop yield variability, based on three mainstream ML algorithms and two traditional regression algorithms. Our research shows that downscaled SM based on high temporal resolution GOES-LST demonstrates outstanding performance in characterizing the spatial variation of SM. With respect to yield estimation, downscaled high-resolution SM outperformscoarse-resolution SM and precipitation products, with the average R2 between the crop yield estimatesand the yield records being 0.814, 0.809, and 0.805, respectively. In addition, we find that among the five algorithms, the nonlinear ML algorithms exceed the linear algorithms in crop yield estimation, with the average R2 being 0.827 and 0.783, respectively. Our research demonstrates the great potential of infusing different satellite information to improve the monitoring of crop growing status and yield prediction. © 2008-2012 IEEE.

Keyword:

Atmospheric temperature Climate change Climate models Crops Cultivation Food supply Forecasting Geostationary satellites Image resolution Land surface temperature Learning algorithms Learning systems Machine learning Population statistics Soil moisture Surface measurement Surface properties

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Mai, Ruiwen]Sun Yat-sen University, School of Geography and Planning, Guangzhou; 510275, China
  • [ 2 ] [Xin, Qinchuan]Sun Yat-sen University, School of Geography and Planning, Guangzhou; 510275, China
  • [ 3 ] [Qiu, Jianxiu]Sun Yat-sen University, School of Geography and Planning, Guangzhou; 510275, China
  • [ 4 ] [Wang, Qianfeng]Fuzhou University, College of Environmental & Safety Engineering, Fuzhou; 350116, China
  • [ 5 ] [Zhu, Peng]The University of Hong Kong, Department of Geography, 999077, Hong Kong

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IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing

ISSN: 1939-1404

Year: 2024

Volume: 17

Page: 19067-19077

4 . 7 0 0

JCR@2023

Cited Count:

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SCOPUS Cited Count: 1

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

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30 Days PV: 0

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