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author:

Li, Mingxiao (Li, Mingxiao.) [1] | Gao, Song (Gao, Song.) [2] | Qiu, Peiyuan (Qiu, Peiyuan.) [3] | Tu, Wei (Tu, Wei.) [4] | Lu, Feng (Lu, Feng.) [5] | Zhao, Tianhong (Zhao, Tianhong.) [6] | Li, Qingquan (Li, Qingquan.) [7]

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Fine-grained crowd distribution forecasting benefits smart transportation operations and management, such as public transport dispatch, traffic demand prediction, and transport emergency response. Considering the co-evolutionary patterns of crowd distribution, the interactions among places are essential for modelling crowd distribution variations. However, two issues remain. First, the lack of sampling design in passive big data acquisition makes the spatial interaction characterizations of less crowded places insufficient. Second, the multi-order spatial interactions among places can help forecasting crowd distribution but are rarely considered in the existing literature. To address these issues, a novel crowd distribution forecasting method with multiorder spatial interactions was proposed. In particular, a weighted random walk algorithm was applied to generate simulated trajectories for improving the interaction characterizations derived from sparse mobile phone data. The multi-order spatial interactions among contextual nonadjacent places were modelled with an embedding learning technique. The future crowd distribution was forecasted via a graph-based deep neural network. The proposed method was verified using a real-world mobile phone dataset, and the results showed that both the multi-order spatial interactions and the trajectory data enhancement algorithm helped improve the crowd distribution forecasting performance. The proposed method can be utilized for capturing fine-grained crowd distribution, which supports various applications such as intelligent transportation management and public health decision making.

Keyword:

Crowd distribution forecasting Embedding learning Human mobility Multi-order spatial interaction Trajectory enhancement

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Li, Mingxiao]Shenzhen Univ, Guangdong Key Lab Urban Informat, Shenzhen Key Lab Spatial Informat Smart Sensing &, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Tu, Wei]Shenzhen Univ, Guangdong Key Lab Urban Informat, Shenzhen Key Lab Spatial Informat Smart Sensing &, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhao, Tianhong]Shenzhen Univ, Guangdong Key Lab Urban Informat, Shenzhen Key Lab Spatial Informat Smart Sensing &, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Li, Qingquan]Shenzhen Univ, Guangdong Key Lab Urban Informat, Shenzhen Key Lab Spatial Informat Smart Sensing &, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Li, Mingxiao]Shenzhen Univ, Res Inst Smart Cities, Sch Architeture & Urban Planning, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Tu, Wei]Shenzhen Univ, Res Inst Smart Cities, Sch Architeture & Urban Planning, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Zhao, Tianhong]Shenzhen Univ, Res Inst Smart Cities, Sch Architeture & Urban Planning, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Li, Qingquan]Shenzhen Univ, Res Inst Smart Cities, Sch Architeture & Urban Planning, Shenzhen 518060, Peoples R China
  • [ 9 ] [Li, Mingxiao]Univ Wisconsin, Geospatial Data Sci Lab, Dept Geog, Madison, WI 53706 USA
  • [ 10 ] [Gao, Song]Univ Wisconsin, Geospatial Data Sci Lab, Dept Geog, Madison, WI 53706 USA
  • [ 11 ] [Li, Mingxiao]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
  • [ 12 ] [Qiu, Peiyuan]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
  • [ 13 ] [Lu, Feng]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
  • [ 14 ] [Qiu, Peiyuan]Shandong Jianzhu Univ, Coll Surveying & Geoinformat, Jinan 250101, Peoples R China
  • [ 15 ] [Lu, Feng]Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
  • [ 16 ] [Lu, Feng]Fuzhou Univ, Acad Digital China, Fuzhou 350002, Peoples R China

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Source :

TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART C-EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES

ISSN: 0968-090X

Year: 2022

Volume: 144

8 . 3

JCR@2022

7 . 6 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:66

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 5

SCOPUS Cited Count: 5

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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