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author:

Li, Mingxiao (Li, Mingxiao.) [1] | Gao, Song (Gao, Song.) [2] | Qiu, Peiyuan (Qiu, Peiyuan.) [3] | Tu, Wei (Tu, Wei.) [4] | Lu, Feng (Lu, Feng.) [5] | Zhao, Tianhong (Zhao, Tianhong.) [6] | Li, Qingquan (Li, Qingquan.) [7]

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Abstract:

Fine-grained crowd distribution forecasting benefits smart transportation operations and management, such as public transport dispatch, traffic demand prediction, and transport emergency response. Considering the co-evolutionary patterns of crowd distribution, the interactions among places are essential for modelling crowd distribution variations. However, two issues remain. First, the lack of sampling design in passive big data acquisition makes the spatial interaction characterizations of less crowded places insufficient. Second, the multi-order spatial interactions among places can help forecasting crowd distribution but are rarely considered in the existing literature. To address these issues, a novel crowd distribution forecasting method with multi-order spatial interactions was proposed. In particular, a weighted random walk algorithm was applied to generate simulated trajectories for improving the interaction characterizations derived from sparse mobile phone data. The multi-order spatial interactions among contextual non-adjacent places were modelled with an embedding learning technique. The future crowd distribution was forecasted via a graph-based deep neural network. The proposed method was verified using a real-world mobile phone dataset, and the results showed that both the multi-order spatial interactions and the trajectory data enhancement algorithm helped improve the crowd distribution forecasting performance. The proposed method can be utilized for capturing fine-grained crowd distribution, which supports various applications such as intelligent transportation management and public health decision making. © 2022 Elsevier Ltd

Keyword:

Cellular telephones Data acquisition Decision making Deep neural networks Embeddings Forecasting Probes Spatial distribution Trajectories

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Li, Mingxiao]Guangdong Key Laboratory of Urban Informatics, Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Spatial Information Smart Sensing and Services, Research Institute of Smart Cities, School of Architeture & Urban Planning, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen; 518060, China
  • [ 2 ] [Li, Mingxiao]Geospatial Data Science Lab, Department of Geography, University of Wisconsin, Madison; WI; 53706, United States
  • [ 3 ] [Li, Mingxiao]State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing; 100101, China
  • [ 4 ] [Gao, Song]Geospatial Data Science Lab, Department of Geography, University of Wisconsin, Madison; WI; 53706, United States
  • [ 5 ] [Qiu, Peiyuan]State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing; 100101, China
  • [ 6 ] [Qiu, Peiyuan]College of Surveying and Geo-Informatics, Shandong Jianzhu University, Jinan; 250101, China
  • [ 7 ] [Tu, Wei]Guangdong Key Laboratory of Urban Informatics, Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Spatial Information Smart Sensing and Services, Research Institute of Smart Cities, School of Architeture & Urban Planning, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen; 518060, China
  • [ 8 ] [Lu, Feng]State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing; 100101, China
  • [ 9 ] [Lu, Feng]University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing; 100049, China
  • [ 10 ] [Lu, Feng]The Academy of Digital China, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350002, China
  • [ 11 ] [Zhao, Tianhong]Guangdong Key Laboratory of Urban Informatics, Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Spatial Information Smart Sensing and Services, Research Institute of Smart Cities, School of Architeture & Urban Planning, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen; 518060, China
  • [ 12 ] [Li, Qingquan]Guangdong Key Laboratory of Urban Informatics, Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Spatial Information Smart Sensing and Services, Research Institute of Smart Cities, School of Architeture & Urban Planning, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen; 518060, China

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Source :

Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies

ISSN: 0968-090X

Year: 2022

Volume: 144

8 . 3

JCR@2022

7 . 6 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI HC Threshold:66

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 5

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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