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[期刊论文]

Risk spillovers and time-varying links between international oil and China's commodity futures markets: Fresh evidence from the higher-order moments

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author:

Cui, Jinxin (Cui, Jinxin.) [1] | Maghyereh, Aktham (Maghyereh, Aktham.) [2] | Goh, Mark (Goh, Mark.) [3] | Unfold

Indexed by:

SSCI EI SCIE

Abstract:

Existing studies of risk spillovers primarily examine returns and volatility but ignore higher-order moment risks and asymmetrical effects, thereby impeding portfolio optimization and risk manage-ment. This study addresses those scholarly deficiencies by investigating the realized higher-order mo-ments (realized skewness and kurtosis) risk spillovers, and asymmetrical spillovers in volatility between WTI and Brent oil and China's commodities spanning 2006-2020. For robustness, we explore the spillovers in signed jump variations, realized hyper-skewness, hyper-kurtosis, and realized jump. Based on the DCC framework and the proposed MVHAR-RS/RK models, we propose a model to quantify the dynamic links in volatility and higher-order moments. Empirical results demonstrate that risk-connectedness varies under different moments. Alongside spillovers in realized volatility, analysis re-veals significant spillovers in higher-order moment risks and captures the effects of asymmetries in spillovers of good and bad volatility. WTI and Brent oil act as the net transmitters of risk spillovers in all realized moments considered. The dynamic links in realized kurtosis are relatively more volatile and higher than volatility and skewness links. The dynamic risk spillovers under different realized moments and conditional correlations are time-varying and sensitive to major crises. These findings benefit in-vestors and regulators concerned with cross-commodity risks, portfolio optimization, and policymaking. (c) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

China's commodity futures Crude oil Dynamic links Higher-order moment Risk spillovers

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Cui, Jinxin]Fuzhou Univ, Inst Investment & Risk Management, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Zou, Huiwen]Fuzhou Univ, Inst Investment & Risk Management, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Cui, Jinxin]Natl Univ Singapore, NUS Business Sch, Singapore, Singapore
  • [ 4 ] [Goh, Mark]Natl Univ Singapore, NUS Business Sch, Singapore, Singapore
  • [ 5 ] [Cui, Jinxin]Natl Univ Singapore, Logist Inst Pacific, Singapore, Singapore
  • [ 6 ] [Goh, Mark]Natl Univ Singapore, Logist Inst Pacific, Singapore, Singapore
  • [ 7 ] [Maghyereh, Aktham]United Arab Emirates Univ, Dept Accounting & Finance, Al Ain, U Arab Emirates

Reprint 's Address:

  • 崔金鑫 邹辉文

    [Cui, Jinxin]Fuzhou Univ, Inst Investment & Risk Management, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China;;[Zou, Huiwen]Fuzhou Univ, Inst Investment & Risk Management, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China

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Source :

ENERGY

ISSN: 0360-5442

Year: 2022

Volume: 238

9 . 0

JCR@2022

9 . 0 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:66

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 98

SCOPUS Cited Count: 30

30 Days PV: 1

查看更多>>操作日志

管理员  2025-01-02 10:40:46  更新被引

管理员  2025-01-02 10:40:46  更新被引

管理员  2024-09-06 20:45:15  更新被引

管理员  2024-09-03 20:07:11  更新被引

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