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author:

Cui, Jinxin (Cui, Jinxin.) [1] | Goh, Mark (Goh, Mark.) [2] | Zou, Huiwen (Zou, Huiwen.) [3] (Scholars:邹辉文)

Indexed by:

SSCI EI SCIE

Abstract:

This paper investigates the time-frequency dependence, extreme risk spillovers, and dynamic linkages between oil and China's commodity futures markets, using wavelet coherence, quantile connectedness approach, and the DECO-FIAPARCH (1,d,1) model. The results suggest that the oil market exhibits higher coherence with the copper, natural rubber, and fuel oil futures but low coherence with corn, soybean, soybean meal, and white sugar futures on a long-term scale. The crude oil market leads most of China's commodity futures. The results of the DECO model point to the time-varying and low average equi-correlations between oil and China's commodity futures. The total risk connectedness at the extreme lower quantile level (0.01) is higher than the conditional mean and conditional median level. WTI oil, Brent oil, soybean oil, and copper futures are the main spillover net-transmitters whereas the white sugar, soybean, soybean meal, cotton, corn, aluminum, natural rubber, and fuel oil futures are risk spillover net-recipients. The dynamic extreme negative risk spillovers are highly volatile and vulnerable to major international events such as the GFC, oil price plunge, and the COVID-19 pandemic. Finally, Brent oil offers better portfolio diversification benefits than WTI oil and the optimal-weighted portfolio illustrates the highest risk and downside risk reduction effectiveness. (c) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

China?s commodity futures DECO-FIAPARCH Quantile connectedness Wavelet coherence

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Cui, Jinxin]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Inst Investment & Risk Management, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Zou, Huiwen]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Inst Investment & Risk Management, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Cui, Jinxin]Natl Univ Singapore, NUS Business Sch & Logist Inst Asia Pacific, Singapore, Singapore
  • [ 4 ] [Goh, Mark]Natl Univ Singapore, NUS Business Sch & Logist Inst Asia Pacific, Singapore, Singapore

Reprint 's Address:

  • 崔金鑫 邹辉文

    [Cui, Jinxin]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Inst Investment & Risk Management, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China;;[Zou, Huiwen]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Inst Investment & Risk Management, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China

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Source :

ENERGY

ISSN: 0360-5442

Year: 2021

Volume: 225

8 . 8 5 7

JCR@2021

9 . 0 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:105

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 38

SCOPUS Cited Count: 40

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

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