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author:

Fu, Chuanrui (Fu, Chuanrui.) [1] (Scholars:傅传锐)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus

Abstract:

Exchange rate is considered as a highly nonlinear and non-stationary time series which can hardly be properly modeled and accurately predicted by traditional linear econometric models. This study attempts to propose an exchange rate ensemble learning paradigm called EMD-SVR. This methodology decomposes the original non-stationary and irregular exchange rate series into a finite and often small number of sub-signals by empirical mode decomposition (EMD). Then each sub-signal is modeled and forecasted by a Support Vector Regression (SVR). Finally the forecast of exchange rate is obtained by aggregating all prediction results of sub-signals. We verify the effectiveness and predictability of EMD-SVR using EUR/RMB time series as sample. The result shows that EMD-SVR has a strong forecasting ability and is remarkably superior to normal SVR. © 2010 IEEE.

Keyword:

Finance Forecasting Signal processing Time series

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Fu, Chuanrui]School of Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, China

Reprint 's Address:

  • 傅传锐

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Year: 2010

Language: English

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 7

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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