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[期刊论文]

Persistence and extinction for an age-structured stochastic SVIR epidemic model with generalized nonlinear incidence rate

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author:

Lu, R. (Lu, R..) [1] | Wei, F. (Wei, F..) [2]

Indexed by:

Scopus

Abstract:

We formulate an epidemic model with age of vaccination and generalized nonlinear incidence rate, where the total population consists of the susceptible, the vaccinated, the infected and the removed. We then reach a stochastic SVIR model when the fluctuation is introduced into the transmission rate. By using Itô’s formula and Lyapunov methods, we first show that the stochastic epidemic model admits a unique global positive solution with the positive initial value. We then obtain the sufficient conditions of the stochastic epidemic model. Moreover, the threshold tells the disease spreads or not is derived. If the intensity of the white noise is small enough and R˜0<1, then the disease eventually becomes extinct with negative exponential rate. If R˜0>1, then the disease is weakly permanent. The persistence in the mean of the infected is also obtained when the indicator Rˆ0>1, which means the disease will prevail in a long run. As a consequence, several illustrative examples are separately carried out with numerical simulations to support the main results of this paper. © 2018

Keyword:

Age-structure; Extinction; Generalized nonlinear incidence rate; Persistence in the mean; Stochastic SVIR epidemic model; Threshold

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Lu, R.]College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 2 ] [Wei, F.]College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 3 ] [Wei, F.]Key Laboratory of Operations Research and Control of Universities in Fujian, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Wei, F.]College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Fuzhou UniversityChina

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Source :

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications

ISSN: 0378-4371

Year: 2019

Volume: 513

Page: 572-587

2 . 9 2 4

JCR@2019

2 . 8 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI HC Threshold:138

JCR Journal Grade:2

CAS Journal Grade:3

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 28

30 Days PV: 0

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