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author:

Chen, Zhi-Wei (Chen, Zhi-Wei.) [1] | Jiang, Xiao-Lan (Jiang, Xiao-Lan.) [2] | Tian, Li-Jun (Tian, Li-Jun.) [3] | Wu, Peng (Wu, Peng.) [4]

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EI

Abstract:

The mismatch between the supply and demand in the ride-hailing market often results in operational inefficiencies, such as low vehicle occupancy rates and prolonged passenger waiting times. This paper proposes a novel multi-step spatio-temporal prediction model, termed the ConvLSTM + model, which integrates a convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM) network within a dual-layer architecture enhanced by a residual correction mechanism. The proposed model is specifically designed to predict passenger pick-ups and drop-offs. Using taxi datasets from New York City, Chengdu, and Beijing, the experimental results demonstrate that the ConvLSTM + model significantly outperforms several widely used passenger flow prediction models in terms of multi-step prediction accuracy. This study not only provides valuable decision-making support for ride-hailing drivers but also offers actionable insights for improving service quality and operational efficiency within the ride-hailing market. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2025.

Keyword:

Behavioral research Commerce Convolution Data flow analysis Decision making Forecasting Long short-term memory Memory architecture Network architecture Network layers Pickups Prediction models Taxicabs

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Chen, Zhi-Wei]School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350116, China
  • [ 2 ] [Jiang, Xiao-Lan]School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350116, China
  • [ 3 ] [Tian, Li-Jun]School of Business, Guangxi University, Nanning; 530004, China
  • [ 4 ] [Wu, Peng]School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350116, China

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Source :

Applied Intelligence

ISSN: 0924-669X

Year: 2025

Issue: 12

Volume: 55

3 . 4 0 0

JCR@2023

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

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