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author:

Li, S.-H. (Li, S.-H..) [1] | Lin, W. (Lin, W..) [2]

Indexed by:

Scopus

Abstract:

Coastal wetlands are critical for carbon sequestration and shoreline protection, yet their rapid transformation demands accurate land-use change modeling for sustainable management. Traditional Cellular Automata (CA) models often neglect landscape structure, limiting their ability to replicate real-world spatial dynamics. To address this gap, we propose a landscape-enhanced CA (LE-CA) model that integrates landscape metrics into the simulation framework. The LE-CA model couples an artificial neural network (ANN) to assess land-use suitability, a Markov module to estimate transition probabilities, and a genetic algorithm (GA) that incorporates landscape indices into the optimization process. The framework was applied to the Luoyangjiang River wetland in southeastern China, using land-use data and driving factors from 2018 to 2022. Model calibration was conducted for 2018–2020 and validation for 2020–2022. Comparative analysis with conventional models (Markov-CA and ANN-Markov-CA) revealed that the LE-CA model achieved superior performance in both overall accuracy (OA = 0.8014) and figure of merit (FoM = 0.3548). It also demonstrated better landscape structural similarity, with a lower RMSE (0.4899) and reduced combined landscape error (1.2305) during validation. These results highlight the LE-CA model's enhanced ability to capture complex spatial patterns and dynamic land-use processes. By embedding landscape structure into the modeling process, the LE-CA framework offers a more realistic and reliable approach for simulating land-use change in sensitive coastal wetland ecosystems. © 2025 Elsevier B.V.

Keyword:

Artificial neural network Genetic algorithm Landscape pattern Landscape structure Markov chain

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Li S.-H.]College of Advanced Manufacturing, Fuzhou University, Shuicheng Road #1, Quanzhou, Jinjiang City, 362251, China
  • [ 2 ] [Li S.-H.]Key Laboratory of Ocean Space Resource Management Technology, MNR, Hangzhou, 310012, China
  • [ 3 ] [Lin W.]College of Advanced Manufacturing, Fuzhou University, Shuicheng Road #1, Quanzhou, Jinjiang City, 362251, China

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Source :

Ecological Modelling

ISSN: 0304-3800

Year: 2025

Volume: 508

2 . 6 0 0

JCR@2023

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 2

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