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author:

Lin, Weiqing (Lin, Weiqing.) [1] | Miao, Xiren (Miao, Xiren.) [2] | Chen, Jing (Chen, Jing.) [3] | Duan, Pengbin (Duan, Pengbin.) [4] | Ye, Mingxin (Ye, Mingxin.) [5] | Xu, Yong (Xu, Yong.) [6] | Jiang, Hao (Jiang, Hao.) [7] | Lu, Yanzhen (Lu, Yanzhen.) [8]

Indexed by:

EI SCIE

Abstract:

As nuclear power plants (NPPs) undertake more peak regulation tasks to handle high new energy penetration and overcapacity, precise forecasting of in-core power distributions is essential for optimal control and safe operation. However, current works lack an effective strategy for predicting high-resolution power distributions and neglect in-core spatial correlations. This study proposes a spatial-temporal hierarchical-directed network (ST-HDN) for forecasting power distributions, whose prediction strategy is guided by the physical model. To characterize spatial correlations and causal relationships among physical quantities, the hierarchical-directed graph is designed and combined with neutron and power signals for input to the ST-HDN. Concretely, the ST-HDN integrates three sub-modules: a temporal-differencing layer to enhance representation of subtle variations; a multi-dilated convolutional network to extract dynamic temporal features; and a graph convolutional network to propagate spatial adjacent information, further predicting power nodes at various positions. The predicted power nodes are post-processed to derive future power distributions. Experiments on two peak regulation scenarios from a real-world NPP illustrate that the ST-HDN outperforms various state-of-the-art methods in 10-, 20-, and 30-min ahead forecasting.

Keyword:

Forecast power distributions Graph convolutional network (GCN) Nuclear power plants (NPPs) Physical model Spatial-temporal model

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Lin, Weiqing]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Elect Engn & Automat, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Miao, Xiren]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Elect Engn & Automat, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Chen, Jing]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Elect Engn & Automat, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Ye, Mingxin]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Elect Engn & Automat, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Jiang, Hao]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Elect Engn & Automat, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Duan, Pengbin]China Nucl Power Technol Res Inst Co Ltd, Shenzhen 518000, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Xu, Yong]China Natl Nucl Power Operat Maintenance Technol C, Hangzhou 311200, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Lu, Yanzhen]Fuzhou Power Supply Co, State Grid Fujian Elect Power Co Ltd, Fuzhou 350009, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Miao, Xiren]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Elect Engn & Automat, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China

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Source :

PROGRESS IN NUCLEAR ENERGY

ISSN: 0149-1970

Year: 2025

Volume: 186

3 . 3 0 0

JCR@2023

CAS Journal Grade:2

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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