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author:

Wang, Qianfeng (Wang, Qianfeng.) [1] (Scholars:王前锋) | Yang, Xiaofan (Yang, Xiaofan.) [2] | Qu, Yanping (Qu, Yanping.) [3] | Qiu, Han (Qiu, Han.) [4] | Wu, Yiping (Wu, Yiping.) [5] | Qi, Junyu (Qi, Junyu.) [6] | Song, Hongquan (Song, Hongquan.) [7] | Chen, Yu (Chen, Yu.) [8] | Chu, Huaqiang (Chu, Huaqiang.) [9] | Zeng, Jingyu (Zeng, Jingyu.) [10]

Indexed by:

Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Drought is one of the most complicated natural hazards and is among those that pose the greatest socioeconomic risks. How long-term climate change on a large scale affects different types of drought has not been well understood. This study aimed to enhance comprehension of this critical issue by integrating the run theory for drought identification, Mann-Kendall trend analysis, and partial correlation attribution methods to analyze global drought dynamics in 1901-2018. Methodological innovations include: (1) a standardized drought severity metric enabling cross-typology comparisons; and (2) quantitative separation of precipitation and temperature impacts. Key findings reveal that socioeconomic drought severity exceeded meteorological, agricultural, and hydrological droughts by 350.48%, 47.80%, and 14.40%, respectively. Temporal analysis of Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) trends demonstrated intensification gradients: SPEI24 (- 0.09 slope/100 yr) > SPEI01 (- 0.088/100 yr) > SPEI06 (- 0.087/100 yr) > SPEI12 (- 0.086/100 yr). Climate drivers exhibited distinct patterns, with precipitation showing stronger partial correlations across all drought types (meteorological: 0.78; agricultural: 0.76; hydrological: 0.60; socioeconomic: 0.39) compared to temperature (meteorological: - 0.45; agricultural: - 0.38; hydrological: - 0.27; socioeconomic: - 0.18). These results quantitatively establish a hierarchical climate response gradient among drought types. The framework advances drought typology theory through three original contributions: (1) systematic quantification of cross-typology drought severity disparities; (2) precipitation-temperature influence partitioning across drought types; and (3) identification of socioeconomic drought as the most climate-decoupled yet fastest-intensifying type. This study refined drought typological theories and provides a methodological foundation for climate-resilient drought management planning.

Keyword:

Climate change Drought severity Global scale Multi-type drought Various vegetation zones

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Wang, Qianfeng]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Environm & Safety Engn, Fujian Prov Key Lab Remote Sensing Soil Eros & Dis, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Yang, Xiaofan]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Environm & Safety Engn, Fujian Prov Key Lab Remote Sensing Soil Eros & Dis, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Zeng, Jingyu]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Environm & Safety Engn, Fujian Prov Key Lab Remote Sensing Soil Eros & Dis, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Wang, Qianfeng]Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, MOE Engn Res Ctr Desertificat & Blown Sand Control, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Zeng, Jingyu]Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, MOE Engn Res Ctr Desertificat & Blown Sand Control, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Qu, Yanping]China Inst Water Resources & Hydropower Res, Res Ctr Flood & Drought Disaster Reduct, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Qiu, Han]Univ Texas Dallas, Dept Sustainable Earth Syst Sci, Richardson, TX 75080 USA
  • [ 8 ] [Wu, Yiping]Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Inst Global Environm Change, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, Xian 710049, Peoples R China
  • [ 9 ] [Wu, Yiping]Natl Observat & Res Stn Reg Ecol Environm Change &, Xian 710061, Peoples R China
  • [ 10 ] [Qi, Junyu]Univ Maryland, Earth Syst Sci Interdisciplinary Ctr, College Pk, MD 20740 USA
  • [ 11 ] [Song, Hongquan]Henan Univ, Lab Geospatial Technol Middle & Lower Yellow River, Minist Educ, Kaifeng 475004, Peoples R China
  • [ 12 ] [Chen, Yu]Renmin Univ China, Sch Publ Adm & Policy, Beijing 100872, Peoples R China
  • [ 13 ] [Chu, Huaqiang]Tongji Univ, State Key Lab Pollut Control & Resource Reuse, Shanghai 200092, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • 曾靖宇

    [Zeng, Jingyu]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Environm & Safety Engn, Fujian Prov Key Lab Remote Sensing Soil Eros & Dis, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China;;[Zeng, Jingyu]Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, MOE Engn Res Ctr Desertificat & Blown Sand Control, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China

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Source :

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK SCIENCE

ISSN: 2095-0055

Year: 2025

2 . 9 0 0

JCR@2023

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 5

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