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author:

Gong, J. (Gong, J..) [1] | Liu, X. (Liu, X..) [2] | Yao, C. (Yao, C..) [3] | Li, Z. (Li, Z..) [4] | Weerts, A.H. (Weerts, A.H..) [5] | Li, Q. (Li, Q..) [6] | Bastola, S. (Bastola, S..) [7] | Huang, Y. (Huang, Y..) [8] | Xu, J. (Xu, J..) [9]

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Abstract:

Assimilating either soil moisture or streamflow individually has been well demonstrated to enhance the simulation performance of hydrological models. However, the runoff routing process may introduce a lag between soil moisture and outlet discharge, presenting challenges in simultaneously assimilating the two types of observations into a hydrological model. The asynchronous ensemble Kalman filter (AEnKF), an adaptation of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), is capable of utilizing observations from both the assimilation moment and the preceding periods, thus holding potential to address this challenge. Our study first merges soil moisture data collected from field soil moisture monitoring sites with China Meteorological Administration Land Data Assimilation System (CLDAS) soil moisture data. We then employ the AEnKF, equipped with improved error models, to assimilate both the observed outlet discharge and the merged soil moisture data into the Xin'anjiang model. This process updates the state variables of the model, aiming to enhance real-time flood forecasting performance. Tests involving both synthetic and real-world cases demonstrates that assimilation of these two types of observations simultaneously substantially reduces the accumulation of past errors in the initial conditions at the start of the forecast, thereby aiding in elevating the accuracy of flood forecasting. Moreover, the AEnKF with the enhanced error model consistently yields greater forecasting accuracy across various lead times compared to the standard EnKF.  © 2025 Junfu Gong et al.

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  • [ 1 ] [Gong J.]College of Agricultural Science and Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, 210024, China
  • [ 2 ] [Gong J.]College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, 210024, China
  • [ 3 ] [Liu X.]Xiaolangdi Multipurpose Dam Project Management Center, Ministry of Water Resources, Zhengzhou, 450003, China
  • [ 4 ] [Yao C.]College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, 210024, China
  • [ 5 ] [Yao C.]China Meteorological Administration Hydro-Meteorology Key Laboratory, Nanjing, 210024, China
  • [ 6 ] [Li Z.]College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, 210024, China
  • [ 7 ] [Weerts A.H.]Deltares, Delft, 2600 MH, Netherlands
  • [ 8 ] [Weerts A.H.]Hydrology and Environmental Hydraulics Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, 6700 HB, Netherlands
  • [ 9 ] [Li Q.]College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, 210024, China
  • [ 10 ] [Bastola S.]Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of New Orleans, New Orleans, 70148, United States
  • [ 11 ] [Huang Y.]College of Civil Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350108, China
  • [ 12 ] [Xu J.]College of Agricultural Science and Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, 210024, China

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Source :

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

ISSN: 1027-5606

Year: 2025

Issue: 2

Volume: 29

Page: 335-360

5 . 7 0 0

JCR@2023

CAS Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

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SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 4

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