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The changepoints detection, phased trend identification and deformation cause analysis of dam deformation monitoring sequences help to deepen the understanding of the evolution of dam deformation in different time scales, which is of great significance for dam safety operation and management. We designed the process for analyzing dam deformation monitoring data from variational mode decomposition, changepoints detection, segmental trend analysis to correlation analysis, and used this process to analyze the ideal time series simulation signal, the standard test Bumps simulation signal, and inverse plummet deformation monitoring data of the Datengxia Dam from May 2022 to May 2024 respectively. The variational mode decomposition (VMD) method is used to decompose the dam deformation monitoring sequence to the normal dam deformation component(U1), environmental impact component (U2), and other noise influence subitems U3 and U4 are obtained, which effectively avoids the interference of the other noise terms on the changepoints detection and trend identification. On this basis, improved Bayesian block (BBLOCKS) algorithm is used to detect changepoints in component U1, and U1 is divided into sub-segments with stable trends. Then, Mann-Kendal trend analysis (MK) and innovative trend analysis (ITA) methods are used respectively to identify the trend of each sub-segment, which helps to analyze the reasons for the changes in each sub-segment individually. Finally, correlation analysis was done between the U2 subseries and the environmental impacting factors such as temperature, water level and osmotic pressure, and the correlation coefficient between the U2 subseries and temperature = 0.96, which has the highest correlation, and is the main cause of the U2 subseries, indicating that the temperature change has a sustained effect on the deformation of the dam. Examples show that the dam data analysis process recommended of variational modal decomposition, changepoints detection, segmental trend analysis, and correlation analysis of environmental impact factors effectively decomposes the data into various sub components and sub-segments, which plays an important role in trend analysis and cause analysis of deformation. © 2024 IEEE.
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Year: 2024
Language: English
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