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author:

Fang, Sheng-En (Fang, Sheng-En.) [1] | Zheng, Jin-Ling (Zheng, Jin-Ling.) [2] | Wang, Si-Rong (Wang, Si-Rong.) [3]

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Abstract:

In most real-world cases, an in-service structure doesn't always follow the two-state hypothesis under which the structure stays at an intact or completely failed state. Structural failure is sometimes regarded as a fuzzy event, and the actual failure boundary has a certain level of ambiguity that affects the structural limit state function under a fuzzy failure criterion. Under such circumstance, structural reliability should be solved within a hybrid reliability analysis framework involving the coupled effect of randomness and fuzziness. A fuzzy Bayesian interval estimation strategy has been proposed for this purpose. Structural parameters and external loads having fuzziness are decomposed and extended to fuzzy sets. The interval bounds of the distribution characteristics of the fuzzy parameters and loads are estimated using the fuzzy Bayesian estimation. Then an equivalent performance function is defined considering the fuzziness of the failure criterion. After that, the failure probability is computed under different interval combinations. The structural failure probability is expressed by an interval, instead of a traditional deterministic value. The solution process provides a better estimation of failure boundaries taking into account parameter ambiguities. The proposed method has been successfully verified against a plane steel frame structure and the IASC-ASCE benchmark test frame. It was found that the estimated failure probability intervals embraced the deterministic value predicted by the Monte Carlo simulation. © 2024 Elsevier Ltd

Keyword:

Bayesian networks Failure (mechanical) Fracture mechanics Fuzzy set theory Intelligent systems Monte Carlo methods Parameter estimation Reliability analysis Safety engineering Structural analysis Structural frames

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Fang, Sheng-En]School of Civil Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fujian Province, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 2 ] [Fang, Sheng-En]National & Local Joint Engineering Research Center for Seismic and Disaster Informatization of Civil Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 3 ] [Zheng, Jin-Ling]School of Civil Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fujian Province, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 4 ] [Wang, Si-Rong]School of Civil Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fujian Province, Fuzhou; 350108, China

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Source :

Engineering Structures

ISSN: 0141-0296

Year: 2024

Volume: 307

5 . 6 0 0

JCR@2023

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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

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30 Days PV: 0

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