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Abstract:
This research utilizes data mining and text analysis methods to extract investor attention, emotion, and opinion convergence from stock forums. A Restricted Reverse MIDAS model is constructed to explore the dynamic effects of real-time public opinion on intraday high-frequency stock index and trading volume. The empirical results demonstrate a positive impact of forum public opinion on high-frequency stock index and trading volume, with a time attenuation effect observed. Specifically, midday public opinion significantly influences the afternoon high-frequency stock index, exhibiting an initial increase and subsequent decrease in investor sentiment, while investor attention and opinion convergence exhibit a decreasing trend. Nighttime attention and sentiment primarily affect the next morning's high-frequency stock index. Moreover, the real-time emotional impact on the stock market varies across different environments. © 2023
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International Review of Financial Analysis
ISSN: 1057-5219
Year: 2024
Volume: 93
7 . 5 0 0
JCR@2023
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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
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