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author:

Zhou, Mingjie (Zhou, Mingjie.) [1] | Li, Xufeng (Li, Xufeng.) [2] | Zhong, Zuyu (Zhong, Zuyu.) [3]

Indexed by:

EI

Abstract:

With the increasing proportion of photovoltaic power generation in the power system year by year, the prediction of photovoltaic power generation power is increasingly valued. This article proposed a photovoltaic power generation power prediction method based on the RF-XGBoost model to address the issue of unstable output power of photovoltaic power generation systems when integrated into the power grid, using meteorological data for prediction. This method combined the Random Forest algorithm (RF) and XGBoost algorithm, and fused their prediction results by weighted average, giving full play to the advantages of the two models, thus improving the accuracy and reliability of photovoltaic power prediction. Through the training and verification of historical data, the experimental results have shown that the RF-XGBoost model is superior to the single XGBoost model, Random Forest model and RF-SVR model, and has achieved remarkable results in prediction accuracy and performance advantages. This method has provided reliable decision-making support for the optimized operation of photovoltaic power generation systems and grid management, and had an important contribution to promoting the large-scale application of photovoltaic power generation. © 2023 IEEE.

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Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhou, Mingjie]Sichuan University, College of Software Engineering, Chengdu, China
  • [ 2 ] [Li, Xufeng]South China Normal University, Department of Mathematical Sciences, Guangzhou, China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhong, Zuyu]Fuzhou University, Maynooth International Engineering College, Fuzhou, China

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Year: 2023

Page: 544-549

Language: English

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 2

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 3

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