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author:

Huang, Jie (Huang, Jie.) [1] | Zhu, Wuyingjia (Zhu, Wuyingjia.) [2] | Cai, Ying (Cai, Ying.) [3] | Xie, Minfeng (Xie, Minfeng.) [4]

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EI Scopus

Abstract:

The digital economy is a new type of economic form with new expression concepts, many influencing factors, and a wide scope. Accurate prediction of it can not only make quantitative judgments on future economic trends but also directly serve the development of the economy and society and effectively prevent economic risks. This paper combines the Pearson correlation coefficient and the idea of feature importance assessment of random forests to construct an index system for predicting the impact factors of China's digital economy. And based on the QPSO algorithm and LSTM model to construct China's digital economy scale forecasting model, the validity of the model is empirically analyzed by China's digital economy scale data from 1993 to 2020. The results show that the idea of combining a metaheuristic algorithm and neural network has validity in China's digital economy scale forecasting work. In addition, the QPSO-LSTM model outperforms both the single LSTM model and the PSO-LSTM model in terms of parameter search results, convergence speed, MAPE, MAE, and R2 evaluation indexes. © 2023 Technical Committee on Control Theory, Chinese Association of Automation.

Keyword:

Correlation methods Economics Forecasting Long short-term memory

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Huang, Jie]College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 2 ] [Huang, Jie]5G+ Industrial Internet Institute, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhu, Wuyingjia]College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 4 ] [Zhu, Wuyingjia]5G+ Industrial Internet Institute, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 5 ] [Cai, Ying]College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 6 ] [Cai, Ying]5G+ Industrial Internet Institute, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 7 ] [Xie, Minfeng]Minjiang Teachers College, Fuzhou; 350109, China

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ISSN: 1934-1768

Year: 2023

Volume: 2023-July

Page: 8906-8911

Language: English

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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

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Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

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