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Abstract:
Expressway plays an indispensable role in the transportation of goods and the travel of residents. accurate traffic flow forecasting is of great significance to traffic monitoring. There are complex spatiotemporal correlations, sequential relations and heterogeneity among traffic flows. Aiming at the problem that the spatiotemporal correlations cannot be extracted effectively, an optimization model for traffic flow forecasting is proposed. The preprocessing algorithms such as data cleaning and data reconstruction are studied, and the spatial distribution feature and periodic variation of traffic flow in ETC data are analyzed. Based on the spatiotemporal feature of highway traffic flow, the spatiotemporal feature vector model of traffic flow is constructed to extract the potential spatiotemporal feature information of massive ETC data quickly and effectively. And a random forest algorithm is proposed to train and learn features of data to predict highway traffic flow. It is verified by using ETC data of Expressway in Fujian Province. The results show that the periodic feature, spatial feature and adjacent time feature in the spatiotemporal feature vector model effectively improve the forecasting accuracy. The results show that the SF-RF model has better prediction accuracy than HA, LR, GBDT and other traditional models, which can provide reference for decision-making, analysis and scheduling of intelligent highway management system. © 2021 ACM.
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Year: 2021
Language: English
Cited Count:
SCOPUS Cited Count: 4
ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
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Chinese Cited Count:
30 Days PV: 2
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