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author:

Lin, Larry (Lin, Larry.) [1] | Chen, Chih-Yuan (Chen, Chih-Yuan.) [2] | Yang, Hsien-Yueh (Yang, Hsien-Yueh.) [3] | Xu, Zhezhuang (Xu, Zhezhuang.) [4] (Scholars:徐哲壮) | Fang, Shih-Hau (Fang, Shih-Hau.) [5]

Indexed by:

SCIE

Abstract:

This study presents two dynamic models, namely recurrent neural network and long short-term memory (LSTM) models, for predicting PM2.5 concentrations in Taiwan by using PM2.5 time series obtained at air quality monitoring stations and weather information obtained at neighboring weather stations. The proposed models can efficiently predict PM2.5 by incorporating a learned memory structure with a forgetting gate. To evaluate the predictive performance of the proposed models, large-scale databases established by Taiwan's Environmental Protection Administration, and Central Weather Bureau were used; these databases include hourly data from 77 air quality monitoring stations and 580 weather stations over a 1-year period. The results demonstrated that the proposed models outperformed three traditional machine learning methods (gradient boosting, support vector machine, and classification and regression tree models) by 27.12% and 33.69% on average in terms of the coefficient of determination and root mean square error, respectively. A geographical divergence analysis was conducted to compare predictive performance in different regions. The results revealed that the most significant improvement in predictive performance was achieved in central Taiwan. The seasonal and pollution effect on predictive performance were reduced by the LSTM and the source distribution of PM2.5 emission in Taiwan was also analyzed.

Keyword:

air quality Air quality Atmospheric modeling Data models Dynamic system geographical monitoring stations Monitoring Predictive models Recurrent neural networks Time series analysis time series prediction

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Lin, Larry]Yuan Ze Univ, Dept Elect Engn, Taoyuan 32003, Taiwan
  • [ 2 ] [Yang, Hsien-Yueh]Yuan Ze Univ, Dept Elect Engn, Taoyuan 32003, Taiwan
  • [ 3 ] [Fang, Shih-Hau]Yuan Ze Univ, Dept Elect Engn, Taoyuan 32003, Taiwan
  • [ 4 ] [Lin, Larry]MOST Joint Res Ctr AI Technol & All Vista Healthc, Taipei 10617, Taiwan
  • [ 5 ] [Yang, Hsien-Yueh]MOST Joint Res Ctr AI Technol & All Vista Healthc, Taipei 10617, Taiwan
  • [ 6 ] [Fang, Shih-Hau]MOST Joint Res Ctr AI Technol & All Vista Healthc, Taipei 10617, Taiwan
  • [ 7 ] [Chen, Chih-Yuan]Chinese Culture Univ, Dept Geog, Taipei 111, Taiwan
  • [ 8 ] [Xu, Zhezhuang]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Elect Engn & Automat, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Fang, Shih-Hau]Yuan Ze Univ, Dept Elect Engn, Taoyuan 32003, Taiwan;;[Fang, Shih-Hau]MOST Joint Res Ctr AI Technol & All Vista Healthc, Taipei 10617, Taiwan

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Source :

IEEE ACCESS

ISSN: 2169-3536

Year: 2020

Volume: 8

Page: 210910-210921

3 . 3 6 7

JCR@2020

3 . 4 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:132

JCR Journal Grade:2

CAS Journal Grade:2

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 7

SCOPUS Cited Count: 11

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 7

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