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author:

Yang, Q. (Yang, Q..) [1] | Mao, X. (Mao, X..) [2]

Indexed by:

Scopus

Abstract:

In this paper, we consider a stochastic SIRS model with parameter perturbation, which is a standard technique in modeling population dynamics. In our model, the disease transmission coeffcient and the removal rates are all affected by noise. We show that the stochastic model has a unique positive solution as is essential in any population model. Then we establish conditions for extinction or persistence of the infectious disease. When the infective part is forced to expire, the susceptible part converges weakly to an inverse-gamma distribution with explicit shape and scale parameters. In case of persistence, by new stochastic Lyapunov functions, we show the ergodic property and positive recurrence of the stochastic model. We also derive the an estimate for the mean of the stationary distribution. The analytical results are all verified by computer simulations, including examples based on experiments in laboratory populations of mice.

Keyword:

Ergodic property; Extinction; Positive recurrence

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Yang, Q.]School of Mathematics and Statistics, Northeast Normal University, Changchun Jilin, 130024, China
  • [ 2 ] [Mao, X.]Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow G1 1XH, United Kingdom
  • [ 3 ] [Mao, X.]School of Management Fuzhou University, China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Mao, X.]Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow G1 1XH, United Kingdom

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Source :

Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering

ISSN: 1547-1063

Year: 2014

Issue: 4

Volume: 11

Page: 1003-1025

0 . 8 4

JCR@2014

2 . 6 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI HC Threshold:86

JCR Journal Grade:4

CAS Journal Grade:4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 42

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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