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Abstract:
Investigation of the dynamic correlation between financial markets has important and realistic meaning for the market portfolio, but the dynamic correlation between financial markets often shows "nonlinear and asymmetrical" features. The Copula model can effectively solve these problems. This paper aims to study the dynamic correlation between the second board market and SME board market by building Copula models to the return series of the two boards' indexes and calculating the dynamic correlation coefficient between the two markets. The study results are shown as the follows: (i) there is positive correlation between the second board market and SME board market and the correlation is very strong; (ii) time-varying Copula model is better than constant correlation Copula model in describing the correlations among financial markets as it captures market return's feature of time varying; (iii) the upper and lower tail dependence coefficient between GEM and SME board market shows that less linkage risk has been found. The upper tail dependence coefficient is bigger than the lower tail dependence coefficient, means that the linkage risk is asymmetric, that is to say the tail dependence coefficient is much stronger in the bear market. The upper tail dependence coefficient and lower tail dependence coefficients are both in the stable interval, the overall volatility is small. © 2014 WIT Press.
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WIT Transactions on Information and Communication Technologies
ISSN: 1743-3517
Year: 2014
Volume: 54 VOLUME 1
Page: 197-208
Language: English
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SCOPUS Cited Count:
ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
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30 Days PV: 1
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