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author:

Ling, X. (Ling, X..) [1] | Feng, X. (Feng, X..) [2] | Chen, Z. (Chen, Z..) [3] | Xu, Y. (Xu, Y..) [4] | Haifeng, Z. (Haifeng, Z..) [5]

Indexed by:

Scopus

Abstract:

Accurate prediction of the traffic state can help to solve the problem of urban traffic congestion, providing guiding advices for people's travel and traffic regulation. In this paper, we propose a novel short-term traffic flow prediction algorithm, which is based on Multi-kernel Support Vector Machine (MSVM) and Adaptive Particle Swarm Optimization (APSO). Firstly, we explore both the nonlinear and randomness characteristic of traffic flow, and hybridize Gaussian kernel and polynomial kernel to constitute the MSVM. Secondly, we optimize the parameters of MSVM with a novel APSO algorithm by considering both the historical and real-time traffic data. We evaluate our algorithm by doing thorough experiment on a large real dataset. The results show that our algorithm can do a timely and adaptive prediction even in the rush hour when the traffic conditions change rapidly. At the same time, the prediction results are more accurate compared to four baseline methods. © 2017 IEEE.

Keyword:

Adaptive Particle Swarm Optimization; Multi-kernel Support Vector Machine; Traffic flow prediction

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Ling, X.]College of Physics and Information Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 2 ] [Feng, X.]College of Physics and Information Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 3 ] [Chen, Z.]College of Physics and Information Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 4 ] [Xu, Y.]College of Physics and Information Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 5 ] [Haifeng, Z.]College of Physics and Information Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Feng, X.]College of Physics and Information Engineering, Fuzhou UniversityChina

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Source :

2017 IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation, CEC 2017 - Proceedings

Year: 2017

Page: 294-300

Language: English

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 6

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