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author:

Huang, W. (Huang, W..) [1] | Yan, J. (Yan, J..) [2] | Deng, T. (Deng, T..) [3]

Indexed by:

Scopus CSCD CSSCI

Abstract:

In recent years, financial crises broke out frequently and showed contagion, which caused high attention from scholars both at home and abroad. This paper selects the appropriate dynamic conditional correlation model to study conditional correlation among the Eurozone, the American, A-share, and the Hong Kong stock market. By using the endogenous multiple structural break model and T-test method, the paper divides the contagion period and the stable period, and uses CCK model which considers the external influences to study herd behavior on the A-share market and the Hong Kong stock market. And then, this paper introduces the cross-sectional absolute deviation index of returns to study the herd behavior channel during two crises. It can be concluded that the spread of two crises' contagion to the Hong Kong stock market was faster than that to the A-share market, and the contagion period of the Hong Kong stock market lasted longer than that of the A-share market, but the contagion extent of the Hong Kong stock market was weaker than that of the A-share market. In addition, the contagion effect of the subprime crisis was stronger than that of the European debt crisis, but the contagion period of the subprime crisis lasted shorter than that of the European debt crisis. It confirms that herd behavior channel is one of the contagion channel to the A-share market and the Hong Kong stock market during two crises. © 2017, Editorial Board of Journal of Systems Engineering Society of China. All right reserved.

Keyword:

European debt crisis; Financial contagion; Herd behavior; Stock markets; Subprime crisis

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Huang, W.]School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 2 ] [Yan, J.]School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 3 ] [Deng, T.]Sanming Branch, Agricultural Bank of China, Sanming, 365000, China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Yan, J.]School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou UniversityChina

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Source :

System Engineering Theory and Practice

ISSN: 1000-6788

Year: 2017

Issue: 8

Volume: 37

Page: 1982-1991

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 1

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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