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author:

Chen, D. (Chen, D..) [1] | Zhang, J. (Zhang, J..) [2] | Jiang, S. (Jiang, S..) [3]

Indexed by:

Scopus

Abstract:

Forecasting the short-term metro ridership is an important issue for operation management of metro systems. However, it cannot be solved well by the single long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network alone for the irregular fluctuation caused by various factors. This paper proposes a hybrid algorithm (STL-LSTM) which combines the addition mode of Seasonal-Trend decomposition based on Loess (STL) and the LSTM neural network to mitigate the influences of irregular fluctuation and improve the performance of short-term metro ridership prediction. First, the original series is decomposed into three sub-series by the addition mode of STL. Then, the LSTM neural network is employed to predict each decomposed series. Finally, all the predicted outputs are merged as the overall output. The results show that the STL-LSTM model can achieve higher accuracy than the single LSTM model, support vector regression (SVR), and the EMD-LSTM model which combines the empirical mode decomposition and the LSTM neural network. © 2013 IEEE.

Keyword:

Long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network; Seasonal-trend decomposition based on loess (STL); Short-term metro ridership prediction

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Chen, D.]College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350108, China
  • [ 2 ] [Chen, D.]Key Laboratory of Intelligent Metro of Universities in Fujian Province, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350108, China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhang, J.]College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350108, China
  • [ 4 ] [Jiang, S.]College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350108, China
  • [ 5 ] [Jiang, S.]Key Laboratory of Intelligent Metro of Universities in Fujian Province, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350108, China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Jiang, S.]College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Fuzhou UniversityChina

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Source :

IEEE Access

ISSN: 2169-3536

Year: 2020

Volume: 8

Page: 91181-91187

3 . 3 6 7

JCR@2020

3 . 4 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI HC Threshold:132

JCR Journal Grade:2

CAS Journal Grade:2

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 79

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 7

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