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Abstract:
考虑资产收益率的多分形特征及资产组合收益率间的复杂相依结构,运用Markov switching multifrac-tal(MSM)模型对资产收益建模并结合Copula函数刻画相依结构,构建了资产组合市场风险度量的Copula-MSM模型.以风险价值(VaR)和期望损失(ES)作为市场风险度量工具,选取上证指数和恒生指数构成的资产组合进行实证分析,并比较Copula-MSM,Copula-GARCH和Copula-FIGARCH模型对VaR和ES风险测度的估计精度差异.实证结果表明,与Copula-GARCH和Copula-FIGARCH模型相比Copula-MSM能更准确的估计VaR和ES值,提高风险度量精度.
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系统工程学报
ISSN: 1000-5781
CN: 12-1141/O1
Year: 2019
Issue: 5
Volume: 34
Page: 644-655
Cited Count:
SCOPUS Cited Count:
ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
WanFang Cited Count: -1
Chinese Cited Count:
30 Days PV: 6
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