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author:

Liu, J. (Liu, J..) [1] | Yang, J.-B.O. (Yang, J.-B.O..) [2] | Wang, J. (Wang, J..) [3] | Sii, H.-S. (Sii, H.-S..) [4] | Wang, Y.-M. (Wang, Y.-M..) [5]

Indexed by:

Scopus

Abstract:

This paper aims at proposing a framework for modelling the safety of an engineering system with various types of uncertainties using a fuzzy rule-based evidential reasoning (FURBER) approach. In the framework, parameters used to define the safety level, including failure rate, failure consequence severity and failure consequence probability, are described using fuzzy linguistic variables; a fuzzy rule-base designed on the basis of a belief structure is used to capture uncertainty and non-linear relationships between these parameters and the safety level; and the inference of the rule-based system is implemented using the evidential reasoning algorithm. A numerical study of collision risk analysis for a kind of offshore platform is used to illustrate the application of the proposed approach.

Keyword:

Decision-making; Evidential reasoning; Fuzzy rule-base; Safety analysis; Uncertainty

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Liu, J.]Manchester School of Management, UMIST, PO Box 88, Manchester M60 1QD, United Kingdom
  • [ 2 ] [Yang, J.-B.O.]Manchester School of Management, UMIST, PO Box 88, Manchester M60 1QD, United Kingdom
  • [ 3 ] [Wang, J.]School of Engineering, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool L3 3AF, United Kingdom
  • [ 4 ] [Sii, H.-S.]School of Engineering, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool L3 3AF, United Kingdom
  • [ 5 ] [Wang, Y.-M.]School of Public Administration, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350002, China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Liu, J.]Manchester School of Management, UMIST, PO Box 88, Manchester M60 1QD, United Kingdom

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Source :

International Journal of General Systems

ISSN: 0308-1079

Year: 2004

Issue: 2-3

Volume: 33

Page: 183-204

Language: English

0 . 5 0 9

JCR@2004

2 . 4 0 0

JCR@2023

JCR Journal Grade:4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 116

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

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