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Abstract:
Aiming at the shortcomings of the correction factor, the paper adjusts the multifractal volatility measure, and establishes ARFIMA models and HAR models reflecting its characteristics. The empirical studies confirm that the stock market of China has significantly long memory, leverage effect and heterogeneous volatility. The empirical results from out-of-sample forecasts show that the models based on multifractal volatility are more effective forecasting models than the GARCH family models and the adjusted multifractal volatility measure provides more effective volatility estimation.
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Proceedings of 2015 International Symposium - Open Economy & Financial Engineering
Year: 2015
Page: 46-50
Language: English
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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
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30 Days PV: 1
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