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author:

Cheng, Jie (Cheng, Jie.) [1] | Rong, Chunming (Rong, Chunming.) [2] | Ye, Huijuan (Ye, Huijuan.) [3] | Zheng, Xianghan (Zheng, Xianghan.) [4] (Scholars:郑相涵)

Indexed by:

CPCI-S EI Scopus

Abstract:

Adding to societal changes today, are the miscellaneous big data produced in different fields. Coupled with these data is the appearance of risk management. Admittedly, to predict future trend by using these data is conducive to make everything more efficient and easy. Now, no matter companies or individuals, they increasingly focus on identifying risks and managing them before risks. Effective risk management will lead them to deal with potential problems. This thesis focuses on risk management of flight delay area using big real time data. It proposes two different prediction models, one is called General Long Term Departure Prediction Model and the other is named as Improved Real Time Arrival Prediction Model. By studying the main factors lead to flight delay, this thesis takes weather, carrier, National Aviation System, security and previous late aircraft as analysis factors. By utilizing our models can do not only long time but also short term flight delay predictions. The results demonstrate goodness of fit. Besides the theory part, it also presents a practical and beautiful web application for real time flight arrival prediction based on our second model.

Keyword:

ARIMA flight delay prediction Java maven multiple regression R analysis smoothing spline weather effect web application

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Cheng, Jie]Univ Stavanger, Dept Elect Engn & Comp Sci, Comp Sci Risk Management Using Big Real Time Data, Stavanger, Norway
  • [ 2 ] [Rong, Chunming]Univ Stavanger, Dept Comp Sci & Elect Engn, Stavanger, Norway
  • [ 3 ] [Ye, Huijuan]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Math & Comp Sci, Fuzhou, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Zheng, Xianghan]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Math & Comp Sci, Fuzhou, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Ye, Huijuan]Fujian Key Lab Network Comp & Intelligent Informa, Fuzhou, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Zheng, Xianghan]Fujian Key Lab Network Comp & Intelligent Informa, Fuzhou, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Cheng, Jie]Univ Stavanger, Dept Elect Engn & Comp Sci, Comp Sci Risk Management Using Big Real Time Data, Stavanger, Norway

Email:

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Source :

2015 IEEE 7TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON CLOUD COMPUTING TECHNOLOGY AND SCIENCE (CLOUDCOM)

ISSN: 2330-2194

Year: 2015

Page: 542-U707

Language: English

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 1

SCOPUS Cited Count: 4

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

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