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author:

Zheng, Xianghan (Zheng, Xianghan.) [1] (Scholars:郑相涵) | Tian, Hao (Tian, Hao.) [2]

Indexed by:

CPCI-S

Abstract:

The effective prediction of housing prices is of great significance to buyers and real estate developers. However, most existing traditional approaches are inefficient and low accuracy. In this paper, we forecast the growth rate of house prices in different levels of cities of China by using Dynamic Model Averaging and Dynamic Model Selection, which allows both parameters as well as forecasting model rapid change. In addition, some evidence show that Internet search indexes could help model to improve prediction accuracy, so we have introduce Internet search indexes by using some key words under the background of big data in recent years. Under the cirteria of MAFE, MSFE and MLPL, the results of model forecast performance indicate that DMA and DMS model achieve significantly forecasting accuracy especificlly forgetting factors alpha = lambda = 0.95.

Keyword:

DMA forgetting factors House price forecasting Internet search index Model change

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zheng, Xianghan]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Math & Comp Sci, Fuzhou, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Tian, Hao]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Math & Comp Sci, Fuzhou, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Zheng, Xianghan]Fujian Key Lab Network Comp & Intelligent Informa, Fuzhou, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Tian, Hao]Fujian Key Lab Network Comp & Intelligent Informa, Fuzhou, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • 郑相涵

    [Zheng, Xianghan]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Math & Comp Sci, Fuzhou, Peoples R China;;[Zheng, Xianghan]Fujian Key Lab Network Comp & Intelligent Informa, Fuzhou, Peoples R China

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Source :

2018 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON CLOUD COMPUTING, BIG DATA AND BLOCKCHAIN (ICCBB 2018)

Year: 2018

Page: 170-183

Language: English

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 4

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