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[期刊论文]

Dynamic hedging strategy in incomplete market: Evidence from Shanghai fuel oil futures market

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author:

Lin, Xiaoqiang (Lin, Xiaoqiang.) [1] | Chen, Qiang (Chen, Qiang.) [2] | Tang, Zhenpeng (Tang, Zhenpeng.) [3]

Indexed by:

SSCI Scopus

Abstract:

This paper introduces a new incomplete index and establishes a new optimal hedging model. We find that when the market micro-noise is perfectly negatively correlated with the return of futures market, market incompleteness depends on the relative level of noise volatility. Especially when noise volatility is less than the futures market yield, noise volatility will be offset by return volatility. As a result, complete optimal hedging model emerges. As an aside, it is interesting to note that as different conditional variances derived from different volatility models being applied, the hedge performance tends to be basically consistent with subtle difference: DCC-GARCH model is more likely to execute the hedging with 1:1 ratio, while other multivariate GARCH models would give a hedging ratio with greater probability less than 1:1 and is less likely to be a perfect hedge. Therefore, we believe that a simpler econometric model might produce better empirical results. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

Market noise conditional volatility Multivariate GARCH model Optimal hedge ratio

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Lin, Xiaoqiang]China Construct Bank, Fujian Branch, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Chen, Qiang]Xiamen Univ, Xiamen, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Chen, Qiang]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Shanghai 200030, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Tang, Zhenpeng]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou, Fujian, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Lin, Xiaoqiang]Gu Ping Rd 142, Fuzhou 350003, Fujian Province, Peoples R China

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Source :

ECONOMIC MODELLING

ISSN: 0264-9993

Year: 2014

Volume: 40

Page: 81-90

0 . 8 2 7

JCR@2014

4 . 2 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: ECONOMICS & BUSINESS;

ESI HC Threshold:246

JCR Journal Grade:3

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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