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author:

Zhang, Mei-Jing (Zhang, Mei-Jing.) [1] | Wang, Ying-Ming (Wang, Ying-Ming.) [2] (Scholars:王应明) | Li, Ling-Hui (Li, Ling-Hui.) [3] | Chen, Sheng-Qun (Chen, Sheng-Qun.) [4]

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Evidential reasoning (ER) is one of the important approaches used to solve multi-attribute decision analysis (MADA) problems under uncertainty, involving both quantitative and qualitative attributes. The ER approach provides a distributed modeling framework fusing several types of uncertain and incomplete information, including ignorance and vagueness, to work out the optimum alternative rationally. In this paper, we review the original ER algorithm and recursive interval evidential reasoning (IER) algorithm and derive a general analytical algorithm for IER, thus enabling an aggregation of attributes' assessments in an explicit manner. Then, a more complicated uncertain occasion is investigated, where it is possible to conduct evaluation assessments, including quantitative data, belief degrees, grades, and weights, in the form of an interval. A pair of nonlinear optimization models based on the new algorithm is established to solve this problem under interval uncertainty, and the maximum and minimum expected utilities of each alternative are calculated and ranked accordingly. Additionally, we prove that the original ER and recursive IER algorithms are special cases of the new algorithm. Finally, a numerical example is used to demonstrate the steps involved in the proposed approach. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

Decision analysis Decision support systems Multiple criteria analysis Evidential reasoning Uncertainty modeling

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhang, Mei-Jing]Fuzhou Univ, Decis Sci Inst, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Wang, Ying-Ming]Fuzhou Univ, Decis Sci Inst, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhang, Mei-Jing]Fujian Jiangxia Univ, Coll Elect & Informat Sci, Fuzhou 350106, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Chen, Sheng-Qun]Fujian Jiangxia Univ, Coll Elect & Informat Sci, Fuzhou 350106, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Li, Ling-Hui]China Mobile Grp Fujian Co Ltd, Ctr Network Management, Fuzhou 350108, Fujian, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • 王应明

    [Wang, Ying-Ming]Fuzhou Univ, Decis Sci Inst, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China

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Source :

EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH

ISSN: 0377-2217

Year: 2017

Issue: 3

Volume: 257

Page: 1005-1015

3 . 4 2 8

JCR@2017

6 . 0 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:177

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:2

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 54

SCOPUS Cited Count: 62

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

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