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author:

Feng, Xinxin (Feng, Xinxin.) [1] (Scholars:冯心欣) | Ling, Xianyao (Ling, Xianyao.) [2] | Zheng, Haifeng (Zheng, Haifeng.) [3] (Scholars:郑海峰) | Chen, Zhonghui (Chen, Zhonghui.) [4] (Scholars:陈忠辉) | Xu, Yiwen (Xu, Yiwen.) [5] (Scholars:徐艺文)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Accurate estimation of the traffic state can help to address the issue of urban traffic congestion, providing guiding advices for people's travel and traffic regulation. In this paper, we propose a novel short-term traffic flow prediction algorithm based on an adaptive multi-kernel support vector machine (AMSVM) with spatial-temporal correlation, which is named as AMSVM-STC. First, we explore both the nonlinearity and randomness of the traffic flow, and hybridize Gaussian kernel and polynomial kernel to constitute the AMSVM. Second, we optimize the parameters of AMSVM with the adaptive particle swarm optimization algorithm, and propose a novel method to make the hybrid kernel's weight adjust adaptively according to the change tendency of real-time traffic flow. Third, we incorporate the spatial-temporal correlation information with AMSVM to predict the short-term traffic flow. We evaluate our algorithm by doing thorough experiment on real data sets. The results demonstrate that our algorithm can do a timely and adaptive prediction even in the rush hour when the traffic conditions change rapidly. At the same time, the proposed AMSVM-STC outperforms the existing methods.

Keyword:

adaptive multi-kernel support vector machine adaptive particle swarm optimization Short-term traffic flow prediction spatial-temporal correlation

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Feng, Xinxin]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Phys & Informat Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Ling, Xianyao]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Phys & Informat Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Zheng, Haifeng]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Phys & Informat Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Chen, Zhonghui]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Phys & Informat Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Xu, Yiwen]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Phys & Informat Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • 郑海峰

    [Zheng, Haifeng]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Phys & Informat Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China

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Source :

IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS

ISSN: 1524-9050

Year: 2019

Issue: 6

Volume: 20

Page: 2001-2013

6 . 3 1 9

JCR@2019

7 . 9 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:150

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 218

SCOPUS Cited Count: 222

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 9 Unfold All

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WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

Online/Total:109/10070125
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