Home>Results

  • Complex
  • Title
  • Keyword
  • Abstract
  • Scholars
  • Journal
  • ISSN
  • Conference
成果搜索

[期刊论文]

Which uncertainty measure better predicts gold prices? New evidence from a CNN-LSTM approach

Share
Edit Delete 报错

author:

You, W. (You, W..) [1] | Chen, J. (Chen, J..) [2] | Xie, H. (Xie, H..) [3] | Unfold

Indexed by:

Scopus

Abstract:

Quantifying the influence of uncertainty on gold prices is significant for improving related financial decision making. This study proposes a novel CNN-LSTM neural network that can extract potential features from sample data to effectively predict gold prices. Specifically, we demonstrate various uncertainty measures containing market volatility information, such as the economic policy uncertainty index (EPU), epidemic stock market volatility index (IDEMV), and volatility index (VIX), which can contribute to the prediction of gold prices rather than relying solely on the history of tickers, which is conventionally used for prediction. In addition, the proposed model is evaluated against SVR and two different LSTM models. The empirical findings reveal that incorporating additional features, such as uncertainty measures, contributes to improving the predictive accuracy of the model. The CNN-LSTM model, with the inclusion of EPU, IDEMV, and both, achieves a high prediction accuracy. Additionally, the overall prediction accuracy of the CNN-LSTM model outperforms the other proposed methods. The findings provide profound insight into portfolio diversification and risk management practices for governments and businesses. © 2025 Elsevier Inc.

Keyword:

CNN-LSTM COVID-19 Gold prices Predictions Uncertainty measures

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [You W.]School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, China
  • [ 2 ] [Chen J.]School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, China
  • [ 3 ] [Xie H.]School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, China
  • [ 4 ] [Ren Y.]College of Finance and Statistics, Hunan University, Changsha, China

Reprint 's Address:

Show more details

Source :

North American Journal of Economics and Finance

ISSN: 1062-9408

Year: 2025

Volume: 76

3 . 8 0 0

JCR@2023

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

Affiliated Colleges:

Online/Total:60/10083852
Address:FZU Library(No.2 Xuyuan Road, Fuzhou, Fujian, PRC Post Code:350116) Contact Us:0591-22865326
Copyright:FZU Library Technical Support:Beijing Aegean Software Co., Ltd. 闽ICP备05005463号-1